2.Not a Linear Numbers Game
A good conversation took place at Monday’s board meeting about the policies of the new Israeli government. I will write about that nuanced conversation more next week, but as a starter here is the Jewish Journal’s Shmuel Rosner to help set the stage.
"At the heart of the battle against the legal reforms initiated by the Israeli government lies a great fear: the fear of a future that does not bode well for the opponents of the government. The fear of a future in which Israel will look different, simply because its population will be different.
"The opposition is rational not to fully believe in the idea of a comeback: Israel’s demography would not allow it. The currents are pulling the groups supportive of the ruling coalition up the river. There is nothing new in the data: three groups in Jewish Israel have high birth rates. The ultra-Orthodox, the religious and the traditional-religious. These are three groups that vote at a high rate for right wing parties. They vote and grow. Mainly the ultra-Orthodox. The predicted number of children per ultra-Orthodox woman, according to the Central Bureau of Statistics, is 6.64 (2020 data). For secular women, it is less than two children. For a traditional non-religious woman it is 2.24 children."
For a deeper look and perspective, read "Israel's Demographic Time Bomb" in Jewish Journal,